Labour Extends Lead Over Nationalists To 24,000 Votes In Recent Survey

The Labour Party has widened its lead over the Nationalist Party from 12,000 votes in February to 24,000, according to MaltaToday’s April survey.

Labour now enjoys 51.6% support, securing an absolute majority, while the PN trails at 42.8%. Support for third parties, including Momentum and ADPD, remains limited and fragmented.

The PL’s nine-point lead is largely attributed to a sharp decrease in abstention among its 2022 voters and a rise in abstention from former PN voters. Labour is now retaining 80.4% of its 2022 vote share, compared to the PN’s 77.7%.

Turnout is projected at 77.5%, slightly up from February. The survey coincided with Labour’s push to rally its base, highlighting government reforms and internal PN divisions — a strategy that appears to have worked.

Prime Minister Robert Abela maintains a strong 27-point trust lead over PN leader Bernard Grech, who has recorded his weakest showing in over a year. Among 16- to 35-year-olds, Grech’s trust rating has fallen to just 12%.

Government satisfaction has also slightly improved, rising from 2.9 to 3.1 out of 5. Third parties scored low, with Momentum at 2.2% and ADPD at 1.5%.

In Gozo, the Nationalist Party’s lead has narrowed significantly to just one point, down from a 15-point advantage in February. However, the PN has regained control of the Western district, where it now holds a four-point lead.

Third-party support is strongest in the Northern region, with Arnold Cassola’s Momentum reaching 4.2%, while ADPD and other minor parties collectively register 2.6%.

The highest levels of abstention are recorded in the South Eastern region, where 30.3% say they would not vote, followed by the Western region at 27.1%.

#MaltaDaily