A new survey by MaltaToday has shown that the Labour Party could emerge victorious in a general election with a gap of under 36,000 votes one the Nationalist Party.
Were it to be held tomorrow, the projected election results would see the PL amassing 54.3% of the overall vote, with the Opposition trailing behind at 42.8%.
Despite it being a very similar repeat of the 2017 general election, the gap between the two parties has declined by just over 10,000 votes since MaltaToday’s January survey.
The survey however does not attribute voting preference to those who stated that they will not vote or new voters unsure who to vote for. For this survey, unsure voters who voted in 2017 were assumed to be voting for the same party as they did in 2017. Even if new voters with an as of yet uncommitted decision vote PN, the gap would drop to just under 26,000.
In the mean time, the percentage of predicted non-voters and invalid votes taken together in the MaltaToday survey is 11.8%. If uncertain voters are reassigned their 2017 voting decisions, this would represent 41,834 votes – an increase of around 11,000 votes from 2017.
In terms of trust ratings, Prime Minister Robert Abela’s trust ranking dropped slightly to 45.1% from January’s 47.3%, whereas Opposition Leader Bernard Grech moved up to 30.3% from previous 26%.
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