A recent survey conducted by statistician Vincent Marmara has highlighted that the Labour Party currently enjoys a 15% advantage over the Nationalist party.

The statistician revealed that, in comparison to the 2017 election, one can note an increase in 1.7% for the Labour Party and a 2% decrease for the Nationalist Party while the ADPD have gained a 0.3% increase in trust. The survey was conducted amongst 750 participants between 29 October and 4 November and has a 95% confidence level with a margin of error of =/- 3.6%.

With rumours of November election being shut down and the likelihood being virtually impossible at this point in time, all signs point to an election in early 2022, closer to the end of the government’s legislature.

According to a MaltaToday survey, support for Labour remains unchanged at 43.3%, with the Nationalist Party climbing up three points to 29.8%. ADPD registered at 0.8%, with a whopping 13.5% of voters saying that they are unsure of who to vote for. The gap between the parties stands at 13.5 points, translating to a difference of more than 46,000 votes in Labour’s favour.

Through the method used by the MaltaToday survey, if the PN manages to capture all new voters who are unsure, the gap will drop to just over 34,000 in favour of the PL, which is similar to the 2017 general election result. With the PL leading across all age groups and in four of the six regions across Malta and Gozo. This survey was carried out between 28 October and 3rd November, following budget speeches.

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