The Nationalist Party (PN) holds a 12,000-vote lead over the Labour Party (PL), according to a new MaltaToday survey.
The PN has garnered the support of 48.2% of the electorate, maintaining a 4.4-point advantage over the PL, which stands at 43.8%. This survey, the first since June’s European election, suggests a shift in voter sentiment as the PN continues to gain momentum, despite internal challenges within Labour.
Interestingly, the PN’s lead comes despite its leader, Bernard Grech, trailing Prime Minister Robert Abela by 16 points in MaltaToday’s Trust Barometer, which measures public trust in leaders to run the country. While Grech’s personal ratings lag, the PN has benefitted from a higher voter retention rate compared to Labour, as well as gains among non-voters and even some former Labour supporters.
The survey indicates a 75.7% projected voter turnout, which would be the lowest in any Maltese general election since 1950. Labour’s struggles appear linked to a higher abstention rate, with many of its former supporters choosing not to vote. If these trends persist, the PN could further erode Labour’s previous dominance, significantly narrowing the gap from the 2022 general election.
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