“Labour Would Win Election by 16,000 Votes if Held Tomorrow”, Survey by Statistician Vincent Marmarà Shows

Feb 9 2025

A recent survey conducted by statistician Professor Vincent Marmarà indicates that if a general election were held tomorrow, the Labour Party (PL) would secure a majority, with a projected lead of approximately 15,800 votes. The study highlights a significant portion of the electorate—22%—remains undecided, underscoring the potential impact of this group on future election outcomes. The latest numbers were revealed by Marmarà on Ricky Caruana’s podcast.

Key findings from the survey include:

Voting Intentions:

38.5% of respondents expressed support for the PL, while 34.8% favoured the Nationalist Party (PN). A notable 21.8% were uncertain about their voting preference.

Voter Retention:

Among those who voted for the PL in the 2022 general election, 72.2% intend to vote for the party again, 1.5% have shifted their support to the PN, 12.1% are undecided, and 12.9% plan to abstain.
For 2022 PN voters, 80.5% plan to remain loyal, 0.4% have switched to the PL, 11.9% are undecided, and 6.2% intend to abstain.
Leader Trust Ratings: Labour leader Robert Abela holds a 13.2% higher trust rating compared to Nationalist leader Bernard Grech.

Labour Would Win Election by 16,000 Votes if Held Tomorrow, Survey by Statistician Vincent Marmarà Shows

The survey also notes minimal voter migration between the two main parties. However, a substantial number of respondents, particularly from the Labour camp, indicated a likelihood of abstaining from voting. When applying scientific models, the data suggests that the PL would achieve an absolute majority of 50.1%, with the PN obtaining 44.2%, the ADPD 3.0%, and other parties 2.7%.

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Kant With Nearly Half a Million Views on TikTok

Feb 9 2025

Miriana Conte’s Eurovision Song Contest Malta victory continues to capture the public’s attention, as her performance video has now reached nearly half a million views on TikTok. The viral success of the video highlights the growing popularity of the singer, who is being hailed for her captivating stage presence and vocal talent. The video’s rapid rise in views has sparked discussions on social media, with many fans celebrating the achievement and looking forward to her performance in the Eurovision in Basel in May.

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Watch Parts of Malta Flood After Heavy Rain on Saturday

Feb 9 2025

Yesterday’s storm caused significant flooding in parts of Malta, as torrential rains and strong winds overwhelmed drainage systems. Several areas reported flooded streets, particularly in Valletta and other low-lying regions, with vehicles stranded and traffic disruptions. The stormy conditions, accompanied by thunder, continued into the evening, leading to hazardous travel conditions.

Today, the weather remains unsettled, with continued rain expected throughout the day. The wind, which is currently moderate at Force 5, will decrease later, turning light by evening, but conditions will remain unpleasant, especially with the possibility of more rainfall. Sea conditions are still rough, though the waves will gradually decrease.

Temperatures will reach a high of 16°C, with lows dropping to 8°C tonight, making for a chilly evening. The wind will shift from the southeast to the northwest later, with a moderate breeze expected. Residents are advised to remain cautious and avoid unnecessary travel, particularly in flood-prone areas.

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Dr. Vincent Marmara Addresses Survey Timing Controversy And Questions Over Government Ties

Feb 9 2025

In a recent podcast, statistician Dr. Vincent Marmara addressed criticisms regarding the timing of his latest survey, which was released on a Saturday. Some individuals speculated that this release was strategically planned to preempt another newspaper’s survey, purportedly showing the Nationalist Party (PN) leading by 13,000 votes. Dr. Marmara refuted these claims, emphasizing that his appearance aimed to present data without media bias.

Dr. Marmara, a prominent figure in Maltese political polling, has been associated with various government entities. Reports indicate that he has received multiple direct orders from government agencies for research and consultancy services. For instance, The Shift News reported that he was kept on a seven-year retainer by the Malta Gaming Authority, amounting to €370,000

These associations have led to public discourse about the impartiality of his surveys. Critics argue that his government ties might influence his findings, while supporters assert that his academic credentials and methodological rigor ensure objectivity.

Dr. Marmara maintains that his research is conducted with scientific integrity, aiming to provide accurate reflections of public sentiment. He emphasizes the importance of presenting data transparently, allowing the public to form informed opinions.

As Malta approaches its next electoral cycle, the role of pollsters like Dr. Marmara remains crucial.

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