In a recent report published in the Labour Journal ‘It-Torċa’, statistician Vincent Marmarà presented findings from his latest study, indicating a significant lead for the Labour Party (PL) over the Nationalist Party (PN) in the event of an election.
According to Marmarà’s analysis, if an election were to occur tomorrow, Labour would have an approximate 27,000 vote advantage over PN. The study reveals a 10.8% overall lead for PL compared to PN, with a more pronounced 20.9% gap between the leaders of the two parties.
One of the notable aspects of the study is the projected voter turnout. Marmarà’s report suggests that only 71% of eligible voters would participate in the election, a figure considerably lower than in previous elections. This decline in voter turnout could be a critical factor in the election’s outcome.
The survey, conducted between January 20th and 26th, involved a sample of 1,000 individuals. The data was analysed using the Multiple Imputation Technique, a statistical method that allows for more accurate interpretations by addressing potential biases in survey responses.
These findings offer a snapshot of the current political landscape in Malta, highlighting the Labour Party’s significant lead over its main rival. However, the lower anticipated voter turnout adds an element of unpredictability to the potential election outcome.