Labour Lead By 12,000 Votes In Recent Vince Marmarà Survey

A recent survey conducted by statistician and professor Vince Marmarà reveals that if a general election were held today, the Labour Party would secure a fourth consecutive victory, albeit with a significantly reduced margin of 12,000 votes.
Despite the party’s efforts to rejuvenate itself following underwhelming results in the recent MEP and Local Council elections, the poll indicates that their position remains relatively unchanged compared to previous wins by 8,000 and 20,000 votes.
The survey, along with others, highlights growing voter apathy toward the two main political parties, with 21.6% of respondents expressing support for ADPD, other alternatives, or remaining undecided.
The findings also suggest that under the current conditions, neither party would achieve an absolute majority, exceeding 50% of the vote.
This outcome contrasts sharply with a MaltaToday poll from two weeks earlier, which projected a 12,000-vote victory for the Nationalist Party.
In Marmarà’s survey ,nearly 40% of voters expressed a lack of trust in either Robert Abela or Bernard Grech as their preferred prime minister. Among them, 15% said they trust neither leader, 8% were unsure, and almost 17% indicated trust in other leaders.
Despite this, Abela remains significantly more trusted than Grech, with 36% of voters expressing confidence in him compared to Grech’s 24%, giving Abela a 12-point advantage.
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