The Labour Party has widened its lead over the Nationalist Party from 12,000 votes in February to 24,000, according to MaltaToday’s April survey.
Labour now enjoys 51.6% support, securing an absolute majority, while the PN trails at 42.8%. Support for third parties, including Momentum and ADPD, remains limited and fragmented.
The PL’s nine-point lead is largely attributed to a sharp decrease in abstention among its 2022 voters and a rise in abstention from former PN voters. Labour is now retaining 80.4% of its 2022 vote share, compared to the PN’s 77.7%.
Turnout is projected at 77.5%, slightly up from February. The survey coincided with Labour’s push to rally its base, highlighting government reforms and internal PN divisions — a strategy that appears to have worked.
Prime Minister Robert Abela maintains a strong 27-point trust lead over PN leader Bernard Grech, who has recorded his weakest showing in over a year. Among 16- to 35-year-olds, Grech’s trust rating has fallen to just 12%.
Government satisfaction has also slightly improved, rising from 2.9 to 3.1 out of 5. Third parties scored low, with Momentum at 2.2% and ADPD at 1.5%.
In Gozo, the Nationalist Party’s lead has narrowed significantly to just one point, down from a 15-point advantage in February. However, the PN has regained control of the Western district, where it now holds a four-point lead.
Third-party support is strongest in the Northern region, with Arnold Cassola’s Momentum reaching 4.2%, while ADPD and other minor parties collectively register 2.6%.
The highest levels of abstention are recorded in the South Eastern region, where 30.3% say they would not vote, followed by the Western region at 27.1%.
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