In the latest MaltaToday survey, the Labour Party (PL) maintains an absolute majority with 50.7%, down by two points from March, while the Nationalist Party (PN) stands at 44.2%.
This puts the PL ahead of the PN by seven points, translating to a vote gap of 17,100 with a projected turnout of 71%. In March, the PL led by 10 points with a 28,700-vote advantage and a turnout of 77%.
Despite the PL’s losses, the PN only sees a modest 1.6-point increase in vote share. Third parties and independents collectively stand at 5.1%, slightly up from 4.6% in March.
EU Parliament President and PN candidate Roberta Metsola leads the race for Malta’s six MEP seats, with 16 % support, followed by Labour candidate and MEP incumbent Alex Agius Saliba at 8 %.
However, 50% of voters, particularly Labour supporters, remain undecided. Norman Lowell leads third-party candidates with 1% support, followed closely by Arnold Cassola at 0.9%.
The survey reflects substantial voter indecision, especially among Labour supporters awaiting decisions on candidate nominations, potentially influenced by speculation around former PM Joseph Muscat’s candidacy.
The survey took place before candidate nominations opened, and respondents were unaware of all potential candidates. Cross-party voting is minimal, with only 2% of Metsola voters considering Agius Saliba as their second preference.
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